Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center position Moscow's August 18 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow that moderates daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with most guidance clustering afternoon peaks between 21–24°C and low probabilities of exceeding 25°C or dropping below 21°C given stable steering patterns and modest boundary-layer moisture. These conditions align closely with climatological late-August norms of around 20–22°C, keeping 22°C and 23°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes while limiting volatility ahead of final observational resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 18 августа?
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
21°C 20%
24°C 10%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C
20%
22°C
34%
23°C
38%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
21°C 20%
24°C 10%
18°C or below
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C
20%
22°C
34%
23°C
38%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center position Moscow's August 18 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow that moderates daytime heating. Ensemble spread remains narrow, with most guidance clustering afternoon peaks between 21–24°C and low probabilities of exceeding 25°C or dropping below 21°C given stable steering patterns and modest boundary-layer moisture. These conditions align closely with climatological late-August norms of around 20–22°C, keeping 22°C and 23°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes while limiting volatility ahead of final observational resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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