Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow's July 3 maximum near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, explaining why 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C together command over 65% of market-implied probability. Subtle differences in high-pressure ridge strength and daytime insolation versus any late-day cloud increase or brief shower could shift the peak by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering around these outcomes. July climatology (mean high ~23–25°C) provides a baseline, while the two-day lead time means morning model runs and local observations will be the next key updates traders monitor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 3 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 3 июля?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$92,487 Объем
$92,487 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C или выше
Нет
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$92,487 Объем
$92,487 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$2,711 Объем
No
23°C
$9,790 Объем
No
24°C
$2,860 Объем
No
25°C
$23,133 Объем
No
26°C
$16,944 Объем
No
27°C
$11,323 Объем
Yes
28°C
$8,255 Объем
No
29°C
$4,843 Объем
No
30°C
$5,969 Объем
No
31°C
$3,772 Объем
No
32°C или выше
$2,885 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow's July 3 maximum near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, explaining why 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C together command over 65% of market-implied probability. Subtle differences in high-pressure ridge strength and daytime insolation versus any late-day cloud increase or brief shower could shift the peak by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering around these outcomes. July climatology (mean high ~23–25°C) provides a baseline, while the two-day lead time means morning model runs and local observations will be the next key updates traders monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$92,487Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow's July 3 maximum near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, explaining why 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C together command over 65% of market-implied probability. Subtle differences in high-pressure ridge strength and daytime insolation versus any late-day cloud increase or brief shower could shift the peak by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering around these outcomes. July climatology (mean high ~23–25°C) provides a baseline, while the two-day lead time means morning model runs and local observations will be the next key updates traders monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$92,487Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow's July 3 maximum near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, explaining why 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C together command over 65% of market-implied probability. Subtle differences in high-pressure ridge strength and daytime insolation versus any late-day cloud increase or brief shower could shift the peak by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering around these outcomes. July climatology (mean high ~23–25°C) provides a baseline, while the two-day lead time means morning model runs and local observations will be the next key updates traders monitor.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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