**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on May 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 3?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$62,598 Объем
$62,598 Объем
3 мая 2026 г.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$62,598 Объем
$62,598 Объем
3 мая 2026 г.
14°C or below
$2,255 Объем
No
15°C
$1,648 Объем
No
16°C
$3,363 Объем
No
17°C
$4,060 Объем
No
18°C
$4,451 Объем
No
19°C
$4,058 Объем
No
20°C
$6,161 Объем
No
21°C
$7,651 Объем
Yes
22°C
$12,548 Объем
No
23°C
$8,527 Объем
No
24°C or higher
$7,875 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$62,598Дата окончания
3 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$62,598Дата окончания
3 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Official meteorological observations from Moscow's primary weather stations, including Vnukovo and central reporting sites under Russia's Hydrometcenter, confirmed the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on May 3, 2026, aligning trader consensus at 100% implied probability.** This outcome matched pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and GFS-like Russian models, which projected daytime highs of 19–21°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds around 3–8 m/s, and a warming ridge over Central Russia. Typical early May climatology supports such moderate spring warmth, with historical averages near 17–19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare post hoc data revisions from authoritative sources, such as instrument recalibrations or outlier station disqualifications, though final reports are typically binding within 24 hours. Traders await no further updates as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы