Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF and DWD ensembles has converged on a Munich maximum of 32–33°C for June 21, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Clear skies, light easterly flow, and modest downslope warming from the Alps favor efficient surface heating without significant cloud suppression or mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow but allows for 1°C differences tied to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or the precise timing of peak insolation. Historical June extremes in southern Bavaria rarely exceed 34°C absent a strong Föhn event, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 35°C and higher while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated short-range runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on June 21?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 21?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$62,721 Объем
$62,721 Объем
21 июн. 2026 г.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$62,721 Объем
$62,721 Объем
21 июн. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$3,697 Объем
No
30°C
$2,041 Объем
No
31°C
$4,150 Объем
No
32°C
$6,814 Объем
No
33°C
$11,349 Объем
No
34°C
$11,664 Объем
Yes
35°C
$8,012 Объем
No
36°C
$7,743 Объем
No
37°C
$4,575 Объем
No
38°C
$1,448 Объем
No
39°C or higher
$1,226 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF and DWD ensembles has converged on a Munich maximum of 32–33°C for June 21, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Clear skies, light easterly flow, and modest downslope warming from the Alps favor efficient surface heating without significant cloud suppression or mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow but allows for 1°C differences tied to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or the precise timing of peak insolation. Historical June extremes in southern Bavaria rarely exceed 34°C absent a strong Föhn event, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 35°C and higher while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated short-range runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$62,721Дата окончания
21 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF and DWD ensembles has converged on a Munich maximum of 32–33°C for June 21, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Clear skies, light easterly flow, and modest downslope warming from the Alps favor efficient surface heating without significant cloud suppression or mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow but allows for 1°C differences tied to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or the precise timing of peak insolation. Historical June extremes in southern Bavaria rarely exceed 34°C absent a strong Föhn event, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 35°C and higher while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated short-range runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$62,721Дата окончания
21 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF and DWD ensembles has converged on a Munich maximum of 32–33°C for June 21, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Clear skies, light easterly flow, and modest downslope warming from the Alps favor efficient surface heating without significant cloud suppression or mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow but allows for 1°C differences tied to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or the precise timing of peak insolation. Historical June extremes in southern Bavaria rarely exceed 34°C absent a strong Föhn event, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 35°C and higher while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated short-range runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы