Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on June 25?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 25?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$96,170 Объем
$96,170 Объем
25 июн. 2026 г.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$96,170 Объем
$96,170 Объем
25 июн. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$1,710 Объем
No
30°C
$1,016 Объем
No
31°C
$5,601 Объем
No
32°C
$9,258 Объем
No
33°C
$20,274 Объем
No
34°C
$17,605 Объем
Yes
35°C
$14,192 Объем
No
36°C
$15,210 Объем
No
37°C
$5,240 Объем
No
38°C
$2,753 Объем
No
39°C or higher
$3,310 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Объем
$96,170Дата окончания
25 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$96,170Дата окончания
25 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and numerical models indicate sunny conditions under high pressure for Munich on June 25, supporting peak temperatures near 33°C, with some guidance reaching 34°C. This drives the near-tie between those two outcomes at 34.5% implied probability each. Differentiation hinges on factors such as precise timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer mixing, light easterly winds limiting or enhancing local heating, and minor model spread in 2-meter temperatures. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shifts, though afternoon cloud development or slight advection changes could tip the daily high by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine resolution criteria around official station readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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