Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park observatory—the authoritative station for New York City temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 50-51°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and reflecting trader consensus backed by verified measurements. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after mid-month record heat (90°F on April 15), driven by a cold front introducing cloudy skies, northwest winds, and overnight frost advisories that suppressed daytime warming despite typical April solar insolation. Historical Central Park data shows an average high near 60°F for the date, underscoring the anomalous chill from upper-level troughing. Rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could theoretically challenge resolution, but current telemetry and daily climate reports (CLINYC) solidify the reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on April 20?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 20?
50-51°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$238,373 Объем
$238,373 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
Yes
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
50-51°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$238,373 Объем
$238,373 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
45°F or below
$57,026 Объем
No
46-47°F
$32,403 Объем
No
48-49°F
$44,319 Объем
No
50-51°F
$22,525 Объем
Yes
52-53°F
$20,928 Объем
No
54-55°F
$17,305 Объем
No
56-57°F
$16,693 Объем
No
58-59°F
$6,449 Объем
No
60-61°F
$5,466 Объем
No
62-63°F
$7,711 Объем
No
64°F or higher
$7,549 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park observatory—the authoritative station for New York City temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 50-51°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and reflecting trader consensus backed by verified measurements. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after mid-month record heat (90°F on April 15), driven by a cold front introducing cloudy skies, northwest winds, and overnight frost advisories that suppressed daytime warming despite typical April solar insolation. Historical Central Park data shows an average high near 60°F for the date, underscoring the anomalous chill from upper-level troughing. Rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could theoretically challenge resolution, but current telemetry and daily climate reports (CLINYC) solidify the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$238,373Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park observatory—the authoritative station for New York City temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 50-51°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and reflecting trader consensus backed by verified measurements. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after mid-month record heat (90°F on April 15), driven by a cold front introducing cloudy skies, northwest winds, and overnight frost advisories that suppressed daytime warming despite typical April solar insolation. Historical Central Park data shows an average high near 60°F for the date, underscoring the anomalous chill from upper-level troughing. Rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could theoretically challenge resolution, but current telemetry and daily climate reports (CLINYC) solidify the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$238,373Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park observatory—the authoritative station for New York City temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on April 20, 2026, reached 50-51°F, aligning with 100% market-implied probability for that outcome and reflecting trader consensus backed by verified measurements. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after mid-month record heat (90°F on April 15), driven by a cold front introducing cloudy skies, northwest winds, and overnight frost advisories that suppressed daytime warming despite typical April solar insolation. Historical Central Park data shows an average high near 60°F for the date, underscoring the anomalous chill from upper-level troughing. Rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could theoretically challenge resolution, but current telemetry and daily climate reports (CLINYC) solidify the reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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