Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
33°C or higher 99.6%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$47,997 Объем
$47,997 Объем
1 мая 2026 г.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
Yes
33°C or higher 99.6%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$47,997 Объем
$47,997 Объем
1 мая 2026 г.
23°C or below
$554 Объем
No
24°C
$71 Объем
No
25°C
$700 Объем
No
26°C
$2,210 Объем
No
27°C
$1,874 Объем
No
28°C
$3,017 Объем
No
29°C
$4,378 Объем
No
30°C
$5,361 Объем
No
31°C
$2,764 Объем
No
32°C
$8,075 Объем
No
33°C or higher
$18,995 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Объем
$47,997Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$47,997Дата окончания
1 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы