Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a moderating high-pressure regime over northern France, with surface highs settling near 25–26°C in central Paris on July 19 after the early-July heat dome. Key differentiators include variable low-level moisture, potential afternoon cumulus development that caps insolation, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect under light winds. Historical July maxima average 25–27°C, so traders weigh how slight shifts in 500-hPa heights or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across the tightly bunched 24–26°C brackets. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France’s next bulletin will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 19 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 19 июля?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$69,341 Объем
$69,341 Объем
19 июл. 2026 г.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$69,341 Объем
$69,341 Объем
19 июл. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$577 Объем
No
22°C
$3,874 Объем
No
23°C
$8,950 Объем
No
24°C
$15,018 Объем
Yes
25°C
$15,513 Объем
No
26°C
$8,753 Объем
No
27°C
$7,852 Объем
No
28°C
$3,873 Объем
No
29°C
$3,220 Объем
No
30°C
$530 Объем
No
31°C or higher
$1,182 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a moderating high-pressure regime over northern France, with surface highs settling near 25–26°C in central Paris on July 19 after the early-July heat dome. Key differentiators include variable low-level moisture, potential afternoon cumulus development that caps insolation, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect under light winds. Historical July maxima average 25–27°C, so traders weigh how slight shifts in 500-hPa heights or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across the tightly bunched 24–26°C brackets. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France’s next bulletin will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$69,341Дата окончания
19 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a moderating high-pressure regime over northern France, with surface highs settling near 25–26°C in central Paris on July 19 after the early-July heat dome. Key differentiators include variable low-level moisture, potential afternoon cumulus development that caps insolation, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect under light winds. Historical July maxima average 25–27°C, so traders weigh how slight shifts in 500-hPa heights or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across the tightly bunched 24–26°C brackets. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France’s next bulletin will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$69,341Дата окончания
19 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a moderating high-pressure regime over northern France, with surface highs settling near 25–26°C in central Paris on July 19 after the early-July heat dome. Key differentiators include variable low-level moisture, potential afternoon cumulus development that caps insolation, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect under light winds. Historical July maxima average 25–27°C, so traders weigh how slight shifts in 500-hPa heights or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak across the tightly bunched 24–26°C brackets. Updated high-resolution runs and Météo-France’s next bulletin will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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