Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 17°C high temperature in Paris on May 7, driven by Météo-France midday updates and real-time observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, where readings peaked at 17°C around 14:00 under persistent very cloudy skies. Extensive cloud cover has limited solar insolation despite mild southerly flows and weak 5 km/h winds, keeping temperatures below the typical early-May average of 18°C; ECMWF and high-resolution AROME model ensembles tightly converge on this cap with no precipitation expected. While gradual evening clearing remains possible, it is unlikely to enable further heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing 1°C of late-afternoon warming to hit 18°C, but current station data through sunset will finalize resolution via Wunderground records.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on May 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 7?
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$109,992 Объем
$109,992 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$109,992 Объем
$109,992 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
10°C or below
$2,626 Объем
No
11°C
$1,688 Объем
No
12°C
$1,026 Объем
No
13°C
$1,920 Объем
No
14°C
$6,731 Объем
No
15°C
$10,394 Объем
No
16°C
$20,436 Объем
No
17°C
$19,646 Объем
Yes
18°C
$18,859 Объем
No
19°C
$12,512 Объем
No
20°C or higher
$14,154 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 17°C high temperature in Paris on May 7, driven by Météo-France midday updates and real-time observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, where readings peaked at 17°C around 14:00 under persistent very cloudy skies. Extensive cloud cover has limited solar insolation despite mild southerly flows and weak 5 km/h winds, keeping temperatures below the typical early-May average of 18°C; ECMWF and high-resolution AROME model ensembles tightly converge on this cap with no precipitation expected. While gradual evening clearing remains possible, it is unlikely to enable further heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing 1°C of late-afternoon warming to hit 18°C, but current station data through sunset will finalize resolution via Wunderground records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$109,992Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 17°C high temperature in Paris on May 7, driven by Météo-France midday updates and real-time observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, where readings peaked at 17°C around 14:00 under persistent very cloudy skies. Extensive cloud cover has limited solar insolation despite mild southerly flows and weak 5 km/h winds, keeping temperatures below the typical early-May average of 18°C; ECMWF and high-resolution AROME model ensembles tightly converge on this cap with no precipitation expected. While gradual evening clearing remains possible, it is unlikely to enable further heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing 1°C of late-afternoon warming to hit 18°C, but current station data through sunset will finalize resolution via Wunderground records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$109,992Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for a 17°C high temperature in Paris on May 7, driven by Météo-France midday updates and real-time observations at Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, where readings peaked at 17°C around 14:00 under persistent very cloudy skies. Extensive cloud cover has limited solar insolation despite mild southerly flows and weak 5 km/h winds, keeping temperatures below the typical early-May average of 18°C; ECMWF and high-resolution AROME model ensembles tightly converge on this cap with no precipitation expected. While gradual evening clearing remains possible, it is unlikely to enable further heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks allowing 1°C of late-afternoon warming to hit 18°C, but current station data through sunset will finalize resolution via Wunderground records.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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