Recent official forecasts from multiple models converge on a high of 23–25°C for Paris on September 26, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This range arises from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which modulate daytime heating beneath a stable high-pressure influence following warmer southeasterly flow on the 25th. Historical September maxima near 22–23°C provide context, yet current guidance shows modest positive anomalies consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C. Traders weigh ensemble spread and potential afternoon clearing that could push readings toward the upper end versus persistent cloud limiting the peak. Updated model runs and regional observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 26 сентября?
24°C 32%
25°C 31%
23°C 24%
27°C 12%
20°C или ниже
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
24%
24°C
32%
25°C
31%
26°C
11%
27°C
12%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C или выше
1%
24°C 32%
25°C 31%
23°C 24%
27°C 12%
20°C или ниже
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
24%
24°C
32%
25°C
31%
26°C
11%
27°C
12%
28°C
10%
29°C
4%
30°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Recent official forecasts from multiple models converge on a high of 23–25°C for Paris on September 26, 2026, under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This range arises from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which modulate daytime heating beneath a stable high-pressure influence following warmer southeasterly flow on the 25th. Historical September maxima near 22–23°C provide context, yet current guidance shows modest positive anomalies consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C. Traders weigh ensemble spread and potential afternoon clearing that could push readings toward the upper end versus persistent cloud limiting the peak. Updated model runs and regional observations in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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