Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on June 22?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 22?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$56,295 Объем
$56,295 Объем
22 июн. 2026 г.
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$56,295 Объем
$56,295 Объем
22 июн. 2026 г.
75°F or below
$923 Объем
No
76-77°F
$1,650 Объем
No
78-79°F
$3,939 Объем
No
80-81°F
$5,630 Объем
No
82-83°F
$6,836 Объем
No
84-85°F
$15,880 Объем
Yes
86-87°F
$9,187 Объем
No
88-89°F
$7,399 Объем
No
90-91°F
$2,187 Объем
No
92-93°F
$2,280 Объем
No
94°F or higher
$383 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Объем
$56,295Дата окончания
22 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$56,295Дата окончания
22 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model runs show Seattle under a building thermal trough with light onshore flow, driving trader consensus toward 84-85°F as the most likely daily high on June 22. Key variables include the strength and timing of any marine-layer intrusion, which could cap readings in the low 80s, versus clearer skies and downslope warming that favor the 86-87°F bin. Ensemble spread remains notable at this lead time, reflected in the broad probability distribution across 80-89°F outcomes, while extremes below 78°F or above 90°F carry low implied odds given climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated model guidance and afternoon observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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