Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to the 60-61°F outcome for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on May 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent marine stratus and light onshore flow that capped peak heating. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after early-May record highs near 81°F, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge, southerly winds, and coastal low clouds limiting solar insolation despite partial afternoon clearing—conditions echoed in model ensembles projecting 62-66°F but overridden by real-time data showing overnight lows in the low 50s°F and daytime peaks stalled below 62°F. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to quality-controlled NOAA data elevating the high to 62°F, though preliminary airport ASOS readings and evening reports solidify the lower bin; final resolution awaits NWS climatological summary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on May 8?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 8?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$80,005 Объем
$80,005 Объем
8 мая 2026 г.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$80,005 Объем
$80,005 Объем
8 мая 2026 г.
53°F or below
$6,380 Объем
No
54-55°F
$4,217 Объем
No
56-57°F
$4,489 Объем
No
58-59°F
$7,304 Объем
No
60-61°F
$17,044 Объем
Yes
62-63°F
$8,084 Объем
No
64-65°F
$5,690 Объем
No
66-67°F
$6,616 Объем
No
68-69°F
$5,870 Объем
No
70-71°F
$5,228 Объем
No
72°F or higher
$9,084 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to the 60-61°F outcome for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on May 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent marine stratus and light onshore flow that capped peak heating. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after early-May record highs near 81°F, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge, southerly winds, and coastal low clouds limiting solar insolation despite partial afternoon clearing—conditions echoed in model ensembles projecting 62-66°F but overridden by real-time data showing overnight lows in the low 50s°F and daytime peaks stalled below 62°F. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to quality-controlled NOAA data elevating the high to 62°F, though preliminary airport ASOS readings and evening reports solidify the lower bin; final resolution awaits NWS climatological summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Объем
$80,005Дата окончания
8 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to the 60-61°F outcome for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on May 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent marine stratus and light onshore flow that capped peak heating. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after early-May record highs near 81°F, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge, southerly winds, and coastal low clouds limiting solar insolation despite partial afternoon clearing—conditions echoed in model ensembles projecting 62-66°F but overridden by real-time data showing overnight lows in the low 50s°F and daytime peaks stalled below 62°F. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to quality-controlled NOAA data elevating the high to 62°F, though preliminary airport ASOS readings and evening reports solidify the lower bin; final resolution awaits NWS climatological summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$80,005Дата окончания
8 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 6, 2026, 12:20 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to the 60-61°F outcome for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on May 8, 2026, reflecting official National Weather Service observations confirming a daily maximum of 61°F amid persistent marine stratus and light onshore flow that capped peak heating. This positioning stems from a cooling trend after early-May record highs near 81°F, driven by a weakening upper-level ridge, southerly winds, and coastal low clouds limiting solar insolation despite partial afternoon clearing—conditions echoed in model ensembles projecting 62-66°F but overridden by real-time data showing overnight lows in the low 50s°F and daytime peaks stalled below 62°F. Realistic challenges include minor post-processing revisions to quality-controlled NOAA data elevating the high to 62°F, though preliminary airport ASOS readings and evening reports solidify the lower bin; final resolution awaits NWS climatological summary.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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