Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле 7 мая?
19°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$282,616 Объем
$282,616 Объем
11°C или ниже
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Да
20°C
Нет
21°C или выше
Нет
19°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$282,616 Объем
$282,616 Объем
11°C или ниже
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Да
20°C
Нет
21°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Seoul on May 7, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and high-resolution model runs projecting peak daytime heating capped at that level amid overcast skies, northerly winds, and a shallow cool air mass. Current surface observations from KMA stations show morning lows around 12–14°C with gradual warming slowed by persistent cloud cover, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble consensus showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include unexpected solar insolation from clearing clouds driving temps to 20°C, though low-altitude satellite imagery indicates stable cloudy conditions; watch KMA's next hourly update for confirmation as the afternoon unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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