Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Meteorological Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature reached exactly 33°C on May 3, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Amid inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and frequent afternoon thundery showers, cloud cover and precipitation capped daytime heating despite pre-event forecasts of 33–35°C daily maximums from NEA's fortnightly outlook. This aligns with May climatology, where Changi highs typically average 31–33°C. With data now finalized per NEA protocols, trader consensus reflects virtual certainty; only an improbable post hoc revision from quality control—such as a late-recorded sensor reading—could challenge it, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.1°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on May 3?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$105,507 Объем
$105,507 Объем
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$105,507 Объем
$105,507 Объем
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 1, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Meteorological Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature reached exactly 33°C on May 3, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Amid inter-monsoon conditions with light winds and frequent afternoon thundery showers, cloud cover and precipitation capped daytime heating despite pre-event forecasts of 33–35°C daily maximums from NEA's fortnightly outlook. This aligns with May climatology, where Changi highs typically average 31–33°C. With data now finalized per NEA protocols, trader consensus reflects virtual certainty; only an improbable post hoc revision from quality control—such as a late-recorded sensor reading—could challenge it, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare below 0.1°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы