Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on May 7?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 7?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$82,909 Объем
$82,909 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$82,909 Объем
$82,909 Объем
7 мая 2026 г.
25°C or below
$742 Объем
No
26°C
$1,450 Объем
No
27°C
$1,985 Объем
No
28°C
$3,968 Объем
No
29°C
$7,995 Объем
No
30°C
$10,446 Объем
No
31°C
$6,122 Объем
No
32°C
$18,205 Объем
Yes
33°C
$15,652 Объем
No
34°C
$10,646 Объем
No
35°C or higher
$5,698 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Объем
$82,909Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$82,909Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 32°C in Singapore on May 7, 2026, driven by official data from the National Environment Agency's (NEA) Meteorological Service Singapore at the Changi Climate Station—the market's resolution reference—which recorded a daily maximum of 32°C. This aligns with May climatology, where average daily highs cluster around 31–33°C amid the inter-monsoon period's frequent thundery showers, which provide cloud cover and cooling precipitation to suppress peaks despite warmer forecasts of 33–35°C. NEA advisories noted above-average rainfall in the first fortnight, tempering heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this include rare data revisions post-quality control (expected by the 10th) or an improbable late-afternoon spike, though evening conditions with showers make escalation unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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