Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$157,678 Объем
$157,678 Объем
16 июн. 2026 г.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C
Нет
34°C
Да
35°C или выше
Нет
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$157,678 Объем
$157,678 Объем
16 июн. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$3,048 Объем
No
26°C
$15,018 Объем
No
27°C
$14,593 Объем
No
28°C
$7,065 Объем
No
29°C
$14,133 Объем
Нет
30°C
$12,771 Объем
Нет
31°C
$14,587 Объем
Нет
32°C
$14,344 Объем
Нет
33°C
$18,177 Объем
Нет
34°C
$26,651 Объем
Да
35°C или выше
$17,292 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$157,678Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$157,678Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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