Latest Israel Meteorological Service updates and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project highs of 25-28°C for Tel Aviv on April 18, mirroring the tight trader consensus with 27°C (27%), 26°C (25.5%), and nearby outcomes leading. This reflects lingering warmth from an early-April heatwave, where strong easterly winds advected desert air masses, yielding recent peaks near 30°C before a synoptic shift to moderating westerlies and enhanced sea breeze activity. Differentiating factors include precise sea breeze penetration timing—which cools coastal areas via maritime air—and variable low-level cloud cover, capable of swinging maxima by 1-2°C amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Historical April averages hover at 23-24°C; watch IMS bulletins and NOAA data from Ben Gurion Airport tomorrow for refinements ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 18?
27°C 28%
26°C 26%
25°C 17%
28°C or higher 16%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
10%
25°C
17%
26°C
26%
27°C
28%
28°C or higher
16%
27°C 28%
26°C 26%
25°C 17%
28°C or higher 16%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
10%
25°C
17%
26°C
26%
27°C
28%
28°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service updates and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project highs of 25-28°C for Tel Aviv on April 18, mirroring the tight trader consensus with 27°C (27%), 26°C (25.5%), and nearby outcomes leading. This reflects lingering warmth from an early-April heatwave, where strong easterly winds advected desert air masses, yielding recent peaks near 30°C before a synoptic shift to moderating westerlies and enhanced sea breeze activity. Differentiating factors include precise sea breeze penetration timing—which cools coastal areas via maritime air—and variable low-level cloud cover, capable of swinging maxima by 1-2°C amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty. Historical April averages hover at 23-24°C; watch IMS bulletins and NOAA data from Ben Gurion Airport tomorrow for refinements ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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