**Official measurements from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 20°C at the primary station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders incorporate verified observational data.** This below-average reading—compared to typical early May highs around 24–26°C—stems from unseasonably cool conditions fueled by mid- and high-level cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers, as noted in recent IMS summaries. Forecast models from NOAA and local agencies had anticipated this cooldown, with ensemble runs projecting highs in the 20–21°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from measurement errors or station discrepancies, though IMS protocols ensure high reliability; no updates are expected post-initial release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 4?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,390 Объем
$45,390 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$45,390 Объем
$45,390 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
15°C or below
$475 Объем
No
16°C
$346 Объем
No
17°C
$3,947 Объем
No
18°C
$3,117 Объем
No
19°C
$3,393 Объем
No
20°C
$10,212 Объем
Yes
21°C
$10,064 Объем
No
22°C
$7,015 Объем
No
23°C
$3,560 Объем
No
24°C
$1,836 Объем
No
25°C or higher
$1,425 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 20°C at the primary station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders incorporate verified observational data.** This below-average reading—compared to typical early May highs around 24–26°C—stems from unseasonably cool conditions fueled by mid- and high-level cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers, as noted in recent IMS summaries. Forecast models from NOAA and local agencies had anticipated this cooldown, with ensemble runs projecting highs in the 20–21°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from measurement errors or station discrepancies, though IMS protocols ensure high reliability; no updates are expected post-initial release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Объем
$45,390Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 20°C at the primary station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders incorporate verified observational data.** This below-average reading—compared to typical early May highs around 24–26°C—stems from unseasonably cool conditions fueled by mid- and high-level cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers, as noted in recent IMS summaries. Forecast models from NOAA and local agencies had anticipated this cooldown, with ensemble runs projecting highs in the 20–21°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from measurement errors or station discrepancies, though IMS protocols ensure high reliability; no updates are expected post-initial release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$45,390Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Official measurements from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm Tel Aviv's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached exactly 20°C at the primary station, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome as traders incorporate verified observational data.** This below-average reading—compared to typical early May highs around 24–26°C—stems from unseasonably cool conditions fueled by mid- and high-level cloud cover, northerly winds, and scattered showers, as noted in recent IMS summaries. Forecast models from NOAA and local agencies had anticipated this cooldown, with ensemble runs projecting highs in the 20–21°C range. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from measurement errors or station discrepancies, though IMS protocols ensure high reliability; no updates are expected post-initial release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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