Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 3 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 3 июля?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$103,022 Объем
$103,022 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$103,022 Объем
$103,022 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$1,522 Объем
No
8°C
$3,601 Объем
No
9°C
$3,694 Объем
No
10°C
$4,057 Объем
No
11°C
$7,979 Объем
No
12°C
$10,071 Объем
No
13°C
$27,489 Объем
Yes
14°C
$16,634 Объем
No
15°C
$19,094 Объем
No
16°C
$4,966 Объем
No
17°C or higher
$3,915 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$103,022Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$103,022Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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