Official forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA project a daily maximum near 20°C in Wellington on June 1, driven by mild northwesterly flow that has limited typical winter radiational cooling and kept temperatures above the seasonal average of around 12–14°C. This synoptic pattern has produced consistent model consensus supporting the 20°C threshold at the Wellington International Airport station, the resolution source, resulting in near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. A late-day cold front passage or minor downward revision in the official station reading could still alter the recorded high, though current observations show limited risk of such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 1?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 1?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$74,331 Объем
$74,331 Объем
1 июн. 2026 г.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$74,331 Объем
$74,331 Объем
1 июн. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$577 Объем
No
13°C
$408 Объем
No
14°C
$644 Объем
No
15°C
$3,470 Объем
No
16°C
$6,473 Объем
No
17°C
$9,734 Объем
No
18°C
$5,326 Объем
No
19°C
$15,120 Объем
No
20°C
$11,027 Объем
Yes
21°C
$10,292 Объем
No
22°C or higher
$11,259 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA project a daily maximum near 20°C in Wellington on June 1, driven by mild northwesterly flow that has limited typical winter radiational cooling and kept temperatures above the seasonal average of around 12–14°C. This synoptic pattern has produced consistent model consensus supporting the 20°C threshold at the Wellington International Airport station, the resolution source, resulting in near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. A late-day cold front passage or minor downward revision in the official station reading could still alter the recorded high, though current observations show limited risk of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: May 30, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Объем
$74,331Дата окончания
1 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 30, 2026, 12:49 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA project a daily maximum near 20°C in Wellington on June 1, driven by mild northwesterly flow that has limited typical winter radiational cooling and kept temperatures above the seasonal average of around 12–14°C. This synoptic pattern has produced consistent model consensus supporting the 20°C threshold at the Wellington International Airport station, the resolution source, resulting in near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. A late-day cold front passage or minor downward revision in the official station reading could still alter the recorded high, though current observations show limited risk of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$74,331Дата окончания
1 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 30, 2026, 12:49 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA project a daily maximum near 20°C in Wellington on June 1, driven by mild northwesterly flow that has limited typical winter radiational cooling and kept temperatures above the seasonal average of around 12–14°C. This synoptic pattern has produced consistent model consensus supporting the 20°C threshold at the Wellington International Airport station, the resolution source, resulting in near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. A late-day cold front passage or minor downward revision in the official station reading could still alter the recorded high, though current observations show limited risk of such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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