Trader consensus has converged on a 14°C high for Wellington on June 7, driven by MetService and global model runs projecting a maximum near that value amid stable winter high-pressure conditions over New Zealand. These forecasts align with typical June climatology, where daily highs average in the low-to-mid teens Celsius, and current atmospheric steering patterns show limited potential for warmer air advection or enhanced mixing. Official guidance indicates light winds and partial cloud cover, keeping daytime peaks from exceeding the modeled threshold. A late-day shift in synoptic flow or localized warming could still alter the exact maximum before resolution, though ensemble agreement currently leaves little room for deviation outside the 13–15°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on June 7?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$54,797 Объем
$54,797 Объем
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$54,797 Объем
$54,797 Объем
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 6, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 14°C high for Wellington on June 7, driven by MetService and global model runs projecting a maximum near that value amid stable winter high-pressure conditions over New Zealand. These forecasts align with typical June climatology, where daily highs average in the low-to-mid teens Celsius, and current atmospheric steering patterns show limited potential for warmer air advection or enhanced mixing. Official guidance indicates light winds and partial cloud cover, keeping daytime peaks from exceeding the modeled threshold. A late-day shift in synoptic flow or localized warming could still alter the exact maximum before resolution, though ensemble agreement currently leaves little room for deviation outside the 13–15°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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