Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 20?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 20?
23°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$138,883 Объем
$138,883 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$138,883 Объем
$138,883 Объем
20 апр. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$1,213 Объем
No
15°C
$1,418 Объем
No
16°C
$3,685 Объем
No
17°C
$1,336 Объем
No
18°C
$1,950 Объем
No
19°C
$5,828 Объем
No
20°C
$13,117 Объем
No
21°C
$13,677 Объем
No
22°C
$16,158 Объем
No
23°C
$52,108 Объем
Yes
24°C or higher
$28,393 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Объем
$138,883Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$138,883Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 18, 2026, 12:10 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns virtually 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport today, driven by the latest observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather, showing current readings around 20-21°C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain. Full cloud cover (100%) and northeast winds at 8-23 mph have suppressed solar heating, capping the daily peak near historical April 20 averages of 23°C per climatological records. METAR reports confirm no exceedance of 23°C so far, with cooling expected overnight. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing during late-afternoon peak heating (2-4 PM local), enabling brief radiative warming to 24°C+, though model ensembles deem this improbable amid ongoing precipitation forecasts. Final airport observations will resolve the market by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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