The market-implied consensus at 32°C stems directly from official meteorological forecasts issued on June 1, including the China Weather report projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 32°C under cloudy conditions with minimums near 21°C. This aligns with early June climatology in Wuhan, where seasonal warming typically produces average highs around 31°C amid subtropical high pressure and light westerly winds that limit convective enhancement. International models, including those from the UK Met Office, converge on the same threshold without significant spread. Only rapid afternoon clearing or unforecasted thunderstorm development could push readings higher, while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would cap the peak below the expected mark.