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icon for Как долго роботы Figure F.03 будут работать без сбоев?

Как долго роботы Figure F.03 будут работать без сбоев?

icon for Как долго роботы Figure F.03 будут работать без сбоев?

Как долго роботы Figure F.03 будут работать без сбоев?

Ended: мая 21

Ended: мая 21

100-200ч 100.0%

<8ч <1%

8–50 ч <1%

50–100 ч <1%

Polymarket

$191,928 Объем

100-200ч 100.0%

<8ч <1%

8–50 ч <1%

50–100 ч <1%

Polymarket

$191,928 Объем

<8ч

$182 Объем

Нет

8–50 ч

$51,623 Объем

Нет

50–100 ч

$17,197 Объем

Нет

100-200ч

$49,113 Объем

Да

200ч+

$73,813 Объем

Нет

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders have aligned fully behind the 100–200 hour range for Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots to operate without failure, reflecting the company’s recent controlled demonstrations of stable locomotion and task execution powered by its latest large language model integration. This consensus draws from Figure’s iterative improvements in battery efficiency, sensor fusion, and AI-driven error correction, which have extended reliable runtime in lab and factory settings compared with earlier prototypes. While the current positioning indicates strong confidence in the robot’s engineering maturity, unexpected challenges such as prolonged operation on uneven surfaces, high-load manipulation tasks, or software edge cases in dynamic environments could still shift outcomes if real-world conditions exceed test parameters.

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.

This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.

Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.

If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.

If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$191,928
Дата окончания
21 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders have aligned fully behind the 100–200 hour range for Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots to operate without failure, reflecting the company’s recent controlled demonstrations of stable locomotion and task execution powered by its latest large language model integration. This consensus draws from Figure’s iterative improvements in battery efficiency, sensor fusion, and AI-driven error correction, which have extended reliable runtime in lab and factory settings compared with earlier prototypes. While the current positioning indicates strong confidence in the robot’s engineering maturity, unexpected challenges such as prolonged operation on uneven surfaces, high-load manipulation tasks, or software edge cases in dynamic environments could still shift outcomes if real-world conditions exceed test parameters.

Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.

This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.

Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.

If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.

If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$191,928
Дата окончания
21 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor. This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure. Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred. If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe. If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Как долго роботы Figure F.03 будут работать без сбоев?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «100-200ч» с 100%, за ним следует «<8ч» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Как долго роботы Figure F.03 будут работать без сбоев?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $191.9K с момента запуска рынка May 13, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «Как долго роботы Figure F.03 будут работать без сбоев?» — «100-200ч» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<8ч» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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