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icon for Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?
Политика·Big Tech

Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?

icon for Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?
Политика·Big Tech

Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?

Paramount 75%

Никто до 30 июня 2027 года 24%

Comcast <1%

Netflix <1%

Polymarket

$1,263,931 Объем

Paramount 75%

Никто до 30 июня 2027 года 24%

Comcast <1%

Netflix <1%

Polymarket

$1,263,931 Объем

Paramount

$537,026 Объем

75%

Никто до 30 июня 2027 года

$235,156 Объем

24%

Comcast

$235,958 Объем

1%

Netflix

$255,792 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Paramount Skydance holds a clear lead in trader pricing after its February 2026 agreement to acquire all of Warner Bros. Discovery for roughly $110 billion, which received shareholder approval in April and federal DOJ clearance in June. State attorneys general from a dozen jurisdictions filed suit in July alleging excessive market concentration in theatrical distribution and cable, prompting temporary restraining orders and a stipulation that prevents closing before June 1, 2027 or final resolution of the cases. A settlement conference is scheduled for mid-October 2026, with trial timelines extending into 2027, creating the primary uncertainty reflected in the 23.5 percent probability assigned to no closing by the market deadline. Earlier competing bids from Netflix and Comcast were withdrawn or sidelined once the full-company Paramount offer prevailed, leaving few alternative paths to completion.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Объем
$1,263,931
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Paramount Skydance holds a clear lead in trader pricing after its February 2026 agreement to acquire all of Warner Bros. Discovery for roughly $110 billion, which received shareholder approval in April and federal DOJ clearance in June. State attorneys general from a dozen jurisdictions filed suit in July alleging excessive market concentration in theatrical distribution and cable, prompting temporary restraining orders and a stipulation that prevents closing before June 1, 2027 or final resolution of the cases. A settlement conference is scheduled for mid-October 2026, with trial timelines extending into 2027, creating the primary uncertainty reflected in the 23.5 percent probability assigned to no closing by the market deadline. Earlier competing bids from Netflix and Comcast were withdrawn or sidelined once the full-company Paramount offer prevailed, leaving few alternative paths to completion.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Объем
$1,263,931
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Paramount» с 75%, за ним следует «Никто до 30 июня 2027 года» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 75¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 75%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.3 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 8, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?» — «Paramount» с 75%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 75%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Никто до 30 июня 2027 года» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто закроет сделку по приобретению Warner Bros.?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.