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icon for OpenAI приобретен до 2027 года?

OpenAI приобретен до 2027 года?

icon for OpenAI приобретен до 2027 года?

OpenAI приобретен до 2027 года?

дек. 31

дек. 31

Да

4% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

4% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s trajectory toward independence and a potential IPO underpins the 95.8% market-implied odds against acquisition before 2027. In 2026 the company closed a record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation, filed confidentially for a public listing, and continued aggressive acquisitions of its own in developer tools and enterprise infrastructure. Its governance—controlled by the OpenAI Foundation with Microsoft holding roughly 27%—creates structural barriers to a sale, while the compressed timeline leaves little room for due diligence or regulatory review of a deal involving one of the world’s most valuable private AI labs. Any shift would require an unexpected strategic pivot or external pressure capable of overriding current momentum toward public markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$4,589
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s trajectory toward independence and a potential IPO underpins the 95.8% market-implied odds against acquisition before 2027. In 2026 the company closed a record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation, filed confidentially for a public listing, and continued aggressive acquisitions of its own in developer tools and enterprise infrastructure. Its governance—controlled by the OpenAI Foundation with Microsoft holding roughly 27%—creates structural barriers to a sale, while the compressed timeline leaves little room for due diligence or regulatory review of a deal involving one of the world’s most valuable private AI labs. Any shift would require an unexpected strategic pivot or external pressure capable of overriding current momentum toward public markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$4,589
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

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