Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, his established record since 2019, and a primary victory that consolidated party support against multiple challengers. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican or Safe Republican, with polling averages showing Little ahead by wide margins and projections estimating a substantial vote share advantage over Democratic nominee Terri Pickens. Little's fundraising edge and the absence of major recent disruptions reinforce trader consensus around his reelection prospects on November 3. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking events such as significant health issues, scandals, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout, though Idaho's partisan baseline and historical re-election rates for incumbents make such changes improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Айдахо
Победитель выборов губернатора Айдахо
$23,542 Объем
$23,542 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Брэд Литтл (Р)
97%
Терри Пикенс (Д)
3%
$23,542 Объем
$23,542 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Брэд Литтл (Р)
$19,837 Объем
97%
Терри Пикенс (Д)
$3,705 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, his established record since 2019, and a primary victory that consolidated party support against multiple challengers. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican or Safe Republican, with polling averages showing Little ahead by wide margins and projections estimating a substantial vote share advantage over Democratic nominee Terri Pickens. Little's fundraising edge and the absence of major recent disruptions reinforce trader consensus around his reelection prospects on November 3. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking events such as significant health issues, scandals, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout, though Idaho's partisan baseline and historical re-election rates for incumbents make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$23,542Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, his established record since 2019, and a primary victory that consolidated party support against multiple challengers. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican or Safe Republican, with polling averages showing Little ahead by wide margins and projections estimating a substantial vote share advantage over Democratic nominee Terri Pickens. Little's fundraising edge and the absence of major recent disruptions reinforce trader consensus around his reelection prospects on November 3. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking events such as significant health issues, scandals, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout, though Idaho's partisan baseline and historical re-election rates for incumbents make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$23,542Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Little holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, his established record since 2019, and a primary victory that consolidated party support against multiple challengers. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican or Safe Republican, with polling averages showing Little ahead by wide margins and projections estimating a substantial vote share advantage over Democratic nominee Terri Pickens. Little's fundraising edge and the absence of major recent disruptions reinforce trader consensus around his reelection prospects on November 3. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include late-breaking events such as significant health issues, scandals, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout, though Idaho's partisan baseline and historical re-election rates for incumbents make such changes improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы