Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, reflected in the market’s strong consensus for a Republican victory. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced easily in her primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its history of large GOP margins, including a 45-point Trump victory in the prior cycle. The November 3 general election features limited Democratic infrastructure and no recent polling or events that have shifted expectations. A Republican hold could be disrupted only by an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоID-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
ID-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$34,550 Объем
$34,550 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
95%
Демократическая партия
2%
$34,550 Объем
$34,550 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$21,726 Объем
95%
Демократическая партия
$12,824 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, reflected in the market’s strong consensus for a Republican victory. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced easily in her primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its history of large GOP margins, including a 45-point Trump victory in the prior cycle. The November 3 general election features limited Democratic infrastructure and no recent polling or events that have shifted expectations. A Republican hold could be disrupted only by an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$34,550Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, reflected in the market’s strong consensus for a Republican victory. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced easily in her primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its history of large GOP margins, including a 45-point Trump victory in the prior cycle. The November 3 general election features limited Democratic infrastructure and no recent polling or events that have shifted expectations. A Republican hold could be disrupted only by an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$34,550Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, reflected in the market’s strong consensus for a Republican victory. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against two challengers, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced easily in her primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its history of large GOP margins, including a 45-point Trump victory in the prior cycle. The November 3 general election features limited Democratic infrastructure and no recent polling or events that have shifted expectations. A Republican hold could be disrupted only by an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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