Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the party's nomination in Idaho's 1st Congressional District primary on May 19, 2026, defeating challengers with roughly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson won her party's nomination. The district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe Republican underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome in the November 3 general election. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the area further constrain competitive prospects. A major late-cycle development such as an unforeseen scandal or significant national political shift could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоID-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$34,550 Объем
$34,550 Объем
Республиканская партия
95%
Демократическая партия
2%
$34,550 Объем
$34,550 Объем
Республиканская партия
95%
Демократическая партия
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher secured the party's nomination in Idaho's 1st Congressional District primary on May 19, 2026, defeating challengers with roughly 78 percent of the vote, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson won her party's nomination. The district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe Republican underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican outcome in the November 3 general election. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the area further constrain competitive prospects. A major late-cycle development such as an unforeseen scandal or significant national political shift could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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