Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone secured the NJ-06 nomination with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote in June 2026, facing only modest intra-party opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a plurality. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history, Pallone’s decades-long tenure, and consistent fundraising advantages. The unopposed Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has delivered comfortable Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though late national shifts, unusual turnout patterns, or unexpected candidate developments could narrow the gap before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNJ-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NJ-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$28,008 Объем
$28,008 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$28,008 Объем
$28,008 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$8,879 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$19,129 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone secured the NJ-06 nomination with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote in June 2026, facing only modest intra-party opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a plurality. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history, Pallone’s decades-long tenure, and consistent fundraising advantages. The unopposed Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has delivered comfortable Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though late national shifts, unusual turnout patterns, or unexpected candidate developments could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$28,008Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone secured the NJ-06 nomination with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote in June 2026, facing only modest intra-party opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a plurality. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history, Pallone’s decades-long tenure, and consistent fundraising advantages. The unopposed Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has delivered comfortable Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though late national shifts, unusual turnout patterns, or unexpected candidate developments could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$28,008Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone secured the NJ-06 nomination with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote in June 2026, facing only modest intra-party opposition in a district where registered Democrats hold a plurality. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its voting history, Pallone’s decades-long tenure, and consistent fundraising advantages. The unopposed Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has delivered comfortable Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though late national shifts, unusual turnout patterns, or unexpected candidate developments could narrow the gap before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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