President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act during 2025 and early 2026 to support federal immigration enforcement, including after protests erupted in Minnesota following a fatal January 2026 ICE operation. His administration has considered or floated the law amid deployments of agents to Democratic-led cities, though prior attempts to federalize National Guard units under other statutes faced court blocks. Congress introduced reform legislation in 2025, and Trump has signaled restraint in some cases while leaving the option available for unrest that he describes as obstructing federal operations. Trader focus centers on whether ongoing border and deportation actions, or any escalation in protests, will cross the threshold for an official proclamation before key resolution dates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЗакон о восстании, на который ссылается...?
$1,090,979 Объем
30 июня
4%
31 декабря
18%
$1,090,979 Объем
30 июня
4%
31 декабря
18%
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act during 2025 and early 2026 to support federal immigration enforcement, including after protests erupted in Minnesota following a fatal January 2026 ICE operation. His administration has considered or floated the law amid deployments of agents to Democratic-led cities, though prior attempts to federalize National Guard units under other statutes faced court blocks. Congress introduced reform legislation in 2025, and Trump has signaled restraint in some cases while leaving the option available for unrest that he describes as obstructing federal operations. Trader focus centers on whether ongoing border and deportation actions, or any escalation in protests, will cross the threshold for an official proclamation before key resolution dates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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