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icon for Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Politics·Trump

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

icon for Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
Politics·Trump

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

дек. 31

дек. 31

4% вероятность
Polymarket

$41,830 Объем

4% вероятность
Polymarket

$41,830 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Republican control of Congress, combined with Vice President JD Vance and a Trump-aligned Cabinet, creates major procedural barriers to invoking the 25th Amendment, which requires their agreement plus congressional supermajorities for involuntary removal. April 2026 calls from House Democrats and advocacy groups for action over Iran-related statements and policy moves generated brief attention but produced no institutional momentum or defections among key officials. Trader pricing at 92.5% for "No" reflects these durable political alignments and the amendment's historical rarity, absent any subsequent shifts in Cabinet composition or party dynamics through mid-2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Объем
$41,830
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Republican control of Congress, combined with Vice President JD Vance and a Trump-aligned Cabinet, creates major procedural barriers to invoking the 25th Amendment, which requires their agreement plus congressional supermajorities for involuntary removal. April 2026 calls from House Democrats and advocacy groups for action over Iran-related statements and policy moves generated brief attention but produced no institutional momentum or defections among key officials. Trader pricing at 92.5% for "No" reflects these durable political alignments and the amendment's historical rarity, absent any subsequent shifts in Cabinet composition or party dynamics through mid-2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Объем
$41,830
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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Текущая вероятность для «Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?» составляет 4% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 4%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

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