Recent polling has placed President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s amid sustained economic headwinds and foreign policy pressures tied to the Iran conflict, including elevated prices and public pessimism over prolonged involvement. August surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Verasight, and others recorded figures between 33% and 37% approve, with net ratings near -20 to -26 and all major issues now underwater. These trends anchor trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 4 reading, while the smaller probabilities assigned to sub-37 and 39+ outcomes reflect expectations of stability absent immediate catalysts such as new economic data releases or diplomatic shifts before the measurement date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено38,0–38,4 45%
37,5–37,9 32%
37,0–37,4 26%
38,5–38,9 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
<37,0
11%
37,0–37,4
26%
37,5–37,9
32%
38,0–38,4
45%
38,5–38,9
25%
39,0+
25%
38,0–38,4 45%
37,5–37,9 32%
37,0–37,4 26%
38,5–38,9 25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
<37,0
$20 Объем
11%
37,0–37,4
$0 Объем
26%
37,5–37,9
$0 Объем
32%
38,0–38,4
$0 Объем
45%
38,5–38,9
$0 Объем
25%
39,0+
$0 Объем
25%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling has placed President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s amid sustained economic headwinds and foreign policy pressures tied to the Iran conflict, including elevated prices and public pessimism over prolonged involvement. August surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Verasight, and others recorded figures between 33% and 37% approve, with net ratings near -20 to -26 and all major issues now underwater. These trends anchor trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 4 reading, while the smaller probabilities assigned to sub-37 and 39+ outcomes reflect expectations of stability absent immediate catalysts such as new economic data releases or diplomatic shifts before the measurement date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Объем
$20Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling has placed President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s amid sustained economic headwinds and foreign policy pressures tied to the Iran conflict, including elevated prices and public pessimism over prolonged involvement. August surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Verasight, and others recorded figures between 33% and 37% approve, with net ratings near -20 to -26 and all major issues now underwater. These trends anchor trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 4 reading, while the smaller probabilities assigned to sub-37 and 39+ outcomes reflect expectations of stability absent immediate catalysts such as new economic data releases or diplomatic shifts before the measurement date.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$20Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling has placed President Trump's job approval in the low-to-mid 30s amid sustained economic headwinds and foreign policy pressures tied to the Iran conflict, including elevated prices and public pessimism over prolonged involvement. August surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Verasight, and others recorded figures between 33% and 37% approve, with net ratings near -20 to -26 and all major issues now underwater. These trends anchor trader consensus around the 38.0–38.4 range for the September 4 reading, while the smaller probabilities assigned to sub-37 and 39+ outcomes reflect expectations of stability absent immediate catalysts such as new economic data releases or diplomatic shifts before the measurement date.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы