Trump’s strong public statements affirming his intent to serve his full second term, combined with consistent Republican congressional majorities and base support, underpin the 96% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. No major legislative defeats, health disclosures, or party defections have emerged to create meaningful exit pressure as of mid-2026. Historical patterns show presidential resignations occur only under extreme duress, a threshold not approached here. Potential shifting factors remain low-probability but include acute medical events forcing invocation of the 25th Amendment, rapid erosion of GOP support after the 2026 midterms, or unprecedented legal developments creating personal liability that outweighs the protective benefits of office.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
4% вероятность
$23,366 Объем
$23,366 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
4% вероятность
$23,366 Объем
$23,366 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s strong public statements affirming his intent to serve his full second term, combined with consistent Republican congressional majorities and base support, underpin the 96% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. No major legislative defeats, health disclosures, or party defections have emerged to create meaningful exit pressure as of mid-2026. Historical patterns show presidential resignations occur only under extreme duress, a threshold not approached here. Potential shifting factors remain low-probability but include acute medical events forcing invocation of the 25th Amendment, rapid erosion of GOP support after the 2026 midterms, or unprecedented legal developments creating personal liability that outweighs the protective benefits of office.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Объем
$23,366Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s strong public statements affirming his intent to serve his full second term, combined with consistent Republican congressional majorities and base support, underpin the 96% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. No major legislative defeats, health disclosures, or party defections have emerged to create meaningful exit pressure as of mid-2026. Historical patterns show presidential resignations occur only under extreme duress, a threshold not approached here. Potential shifting factors remain low-probability but include acute medical events forcing invocation of the 25th Amendment, rapid erosion of GOP support after the 2026 midterms, or unprecedented legal developments creating personal liability that outweighs the protective benefits of office.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$23,366Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s strong public statements affirming his intent to serve his full second term, combined with consistent Republican congressional majorities and base support, underpin the 96% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. No major legislative defeats, health disclosures, or party defections have emerged to create meaningful exit pressure as of mid-2026. Historical patterns show presidential resignations occur only under extreme duress, a threshold not approached here. Potential shifting factors remain low-probability but include acute medical events forcing invocation of the 25th Amendment, rapid erosion of GOP support after the 2026 midterms, or unprecedented legal developments creating personal liability that outweighs the protective benefits of office.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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