Trump's active pursuit of a full second term drives the 95.7% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. As of mid-2026, the president continues signing executive orders, advancing legislative priorities such as tax extensions, and managing foreign policy initiatives without public signals of departure. Recent medical examinations, including a May 2026 Walter Reed visit described as fully successful, reinforce perceptions of physical capacity to serve. Historical patterns show incumbents rarely resign absent acute health crises or party-wide pressure, factors absent here. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden medical events or major institutional developments, though none currently appear imminent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$20,281 Объем
$20,281 Объем
Да
$20,281 Объем
$20,281 Объем
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's active pursuit of a full second term drives the 95.7% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. As of mid-2026, the president continues signing executive orders, advancing legislative priorities such as tax extensions, and managing foreign policy initiatives without public signals of departure. Recent medical examinations, including a May 2026 Walter Reed visit described as fully successful, reinforce perceptions of physical capacity to serve. Historical patterns show incumbents rarely resign absent acute health crises or party-wide pressure, factors absent here. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden medical events or major institutional developments, though none currently appear imminent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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