Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes in 2025 and early 2026 damaged key Iranian enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, leaving the program largely dormant with no verified uranium enrichment occurring. The IAEA has been denied access to affected facilities since February 2026 and cannot confirm the status or location of Iran’s roughly 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium, though satellite imagery shows storage under rubble and limited activity at sites like Pickaxe Mountain. IAEA board referral of Iran to the UN Security Council in September 2026 and snapback sanctions pressure have reinforced transparency demands amid ongoing U.S.-Iran talks on maintaining the status quo. U.S. intelligence assessments indicate no active weaponization effort, consistent with the leadership’s long-standing suspension since 2003, making a completed nuclear device before 2027 appear improbable to traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$1,298,480 Объем
$1,298,480 Объем
Да
$1,298,480 Объем
$1,298,480 Объем
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. and Israeli strikes in 2025 and early 2026 damaged key Iranian enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, leaving the program largely dormant with no verified uranium enrichment occurring. The IAEA has been denied access to affected facilities since February 2026 and cannot confirm the status or location of Iran’s roughly 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium, though satellite imagery shows storage under rubble and limited activity at sites like Pickaxe Mountain. IAEA board referral of Iran to the UN Security Council in September 2026 and snapback sanctions pressure have reinforced transparency demands amid ongoing U.S.-Iran talks on maintaining the status quo. U.S. intelligence assessments indicate no active weaponization effort, consistent with the leadership’s long-standing suspension since 2003, making a completed nuclear device before 2027 appear improbable to traders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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