Official forecasts from multiple models project an overnight low near 26°C in Guangzhou on September 18, supported by subtropical high pressure, light variable winds, and partly cloudy skies that moderate radiative cooling under typical September humidity levels. This central tendency explains why specific mid-range outcomes hold notable implied probability, while the balanced 44.5% odds on 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convective remnants that could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Historical climatology shows average lows around 24°C, underscoring the current setup’s mild bias absent stronger northerly flow. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 18 сентября?
20°C или ниже 89%
30°C или выше 89%
27°C 51%
29°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
89%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
27%
28°C
38%
29°C
39%
30°C или выше
89%
20°C или ниже 89%
30°C или выше 89%
27°C 51%
29°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$0 Объем
89%
21°C
$0 Объем
38%
22°C
$84 Объем
38%
23°C
$0 Объем
38%
24°C
$0 Объем
21%
25°C
$0 Объем
22%
26°C
$0 Объем
22%
27°C
$25 Объем
27%
28°C
$0 Объем
38%
29°C
$0 Объем
39%
30°C или выше
$0 Объем
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from multiple models project an overnight low near 26°C in Guangzhou on September 18, supported by subtropical high pressure, light variable winds, and partly cloudy skies that moderate radiative cooling under typical September humidity levels. This central tendency explains why specific mid-range outcomes hold notable implied probability, while the balanced 44.5% odds on 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convective remnants that could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Historical climatology shows average lows around 24°C, underscoring the current setup’s mild bias absent stronger northerly flow. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$109Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from multiple models project an overnight low near 26°C in Guangzhou on September 18, supported by subtropical high pressure, light variable winds, and partly cloudy skies that moderate radiative cooling under typical September humidity levels. This central tendency explains why specific mid-range outcomes hold notable implied probability, while the balanced 44.5% odds on 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convective remnants that could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Historical climatology shows average lows around 24°C, underscoring the current setup’s mild bias absent stronger northerly flow. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$109Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from multiple models project an overnight low near 26°C in Guangzhou on September 18, supported by subtropical high pressure, light variable winds, and partly cloudy skies that moderate radiative cooling under typical September humidity levels. This central tendency explains why specific mid-range outcomes hold notable implied probability, while the balanced 44.5% odds on 20°C or below versus 30°C or higher reflect model spread in boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convective remnants that could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Historical climatology shows average lows around 24°C, underscoring the current setup’s mild bias absent stronger northerly flow. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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