Current forecasts from models including those referenced by meteorological agencies point to a minimum temperature near 28–30°C in Jeddah on September 17, driven by typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions with high humidity, light westerly winds, and clear skies limiting nocturnal cooling. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 24°C or below and 34°C or higher reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight low, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or sea-surface temperatures can alter the diurnal range by several degrees in this arid environment. Historical September minima average around 28–29°C, providing context for the current consensus while underscoring how forecast revisions ahead of the date could influence resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Джидде 17 сентября?
34°C или выше 78%
24°C или ниже 53%
31°C 40%
25°C 39%
24°C или ниже
53%
25°C
39%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
29%
31°C
34%
32°C
27%
33°C
39%
34°C или выше
78%
34°C или выше 78%
24°C или ниже 53%
31°C 40%
25°C 39%
24°C или ниже
53%
25°C
39%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
29%
31°C
34%
32°C
27%
33°C
39%
34°C или выше
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models including those referenced by meteorological agencies point to a minimum temperature near 28–30°C in Jeddah on September 17, driven by typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions with high humidity, light westerly winds, and clear skies limiting nocturnal cooling. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 24°C or below and 34°C or higher reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight low, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or sea-surface temperatures can alter the diurnal range by several degrees in this arid environment. Historical September minima average around 28–29°C, providing context for the current consensus while underscoring how forecast revisions ahead of the date could influence resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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