Recent PAGASA and global model guidance for Manila on September 17 shows the overnight low stabilizing near 24–26 °C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds associated with the southwest monsoon. High humidity near 95 % and minimal radiative cooling limit further drops, supporting the market-implied near-even split between the 25 °C outcome and cooler thresholds. Traders weigh the risk of localized cooling from heavy rainfall against the typical September baseline of 24–25 °C lows recorded at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations expected overnight will likely resolve remaining uncertainty in these closely matched probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Маниле 17 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Маниле 17 сентября?
20°C или ниже 99%
24°C 92%
21°C 90%
22°C 90%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
99%
21°C
90%
22°C
90%
23°C
90%
24°C
92%
25°C
50%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
20°C или ниже 99%
24°C 92%
21°C 90%
22°C 90%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$0 Объем
99%
21°C
$0 Объем
90%
22°C
$0 Объем
90%
23°C
$83 Объем
90%
24°C
$83 Объем
92%
25°C
$12 Объем
50%
26°C
$2,594 Объем
<1%
27°C
$52 Объем
<1%
28°C
$15 Объем
<1%
29°C
$15 Объем
<1%
30°C или выше
$18 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA and global model guidance for Manila on September 17 shows the overnight low stabilizing near 24–26 °C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds associated with the southwest monsoon. High humidity near 95 % and minimal radiative cooling limit further drops, supporting the market-implied near-even split between the 25 °C outcome and cooler thresholds. Traders weigh the risk of localized cooling from heavy rainfall against the typical September baseline of 24–25 °C lows recorded at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations expected overnight will likely resolve remaining uncertainty in these closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$2,872Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA and global model guidance for Manila on September 17 shows the overnight low stabilizing near 24–26 °C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds associated with the southwest monsoon. High humidity near 95 % and minimal radiative cooling limit further drops, supporting the market-implied near-even split between the 25 °C outcome and cooler thresholds. Traders weigh the risk of localized cooling from heavy rainfall against the typical September baseline of 24–25 °C lows recorded at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations expected overnight will likely resolve remaining uncertainty in these closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,872Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA and global model guidance for Manila on September 17 shows the overnight low stabilizing near 24–26 °C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light easterly winds associated with the southwest monsoon. High humidity near 95 % and minimal radiative cooling limit further drops, supporting the market-implied near-even split between the 25 °C outcome and cooler thresholds. Traders weigh the risk of localized cooling from heavy rainfall against the typical September baseline of 24–25 °C lows recorded at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Updated model runs and official minimum-temperature observations expected overnight will likely resolve remaining uncertainty in these closely matched probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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