Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show high uncertainty for Milan's minimum temperature on September 18, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and possible clear-sky radiational cooling overnight. Recent high-pressure dominance and dry conditions have kept daytime highs near seasonal norms around 24–26°C, but subtle shifts in the 500 hPa pattern or incoming Atlantic moisture could alter boundary-layer mixing and push the overnight low either below 13°C or above 21°C. With market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher, traders are pricing in this genuine forecast divergence ahead of the final observational verification from official Milan stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Милане 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Милане 18 сентября?
12°C или ниже 80%
22°C или выше 79%
20°C 40%
13°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
80%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
23%
18°C
27%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C или выше
79%
12°C или ниже 80%
22°C или выше 79%
20°C 40%
13°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$0 Объем
80%
13°C
$0 Объем
39%
14°C
$0 Объем
39%
15°C
$0 Объем
39%
16°C
$0 Объем
39%
17°C
$0 Объем
23%
18°C
$0 Объем
27%
19°C
$0 Объем
39%
20°C
$0 Объем
40%
21°C
$0 Объем
39%
22°C или выше
$0 Объем
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show high uncertainty for Milan's minimum temperature on September 18, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and possible clear-sky radiational cooling overnight. Recent high-pressure dominance and dry conditions have kept daytime highs near seasonal norms around 24–26°C, but subtle shifts in the 500 hPa pattern or incoming Atlantic moisture could alter boundary-layer mixing and push the overnight low either below 13°C or above 21°C. With market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher, traders are pricing in this genuine forecast divergence ahead of the final observational verification from official Milan stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show high uncertainty for Milan's minimum temperature on September 18, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and possible clear-sky radiational cooling overnight. Recent high-pressure dominance and dry conditions have kept daytime highs near seasonal norms around 24–26°C, but subtle shifts in the 500 hPa pattern or incoming Atlantic moisture could alter boundary-layer mixing and push the overnight low either below 13°C or above 21°C. With market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher, traders are pricing in this genuine forecast divergence ahead of the final observational verification from official Milan stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show high uncertainty for Milan's minimum temperature on September 18, with ensemble spreads reflecting variable cloud cover, light winds, and possible clear-sky radiational cooling overnight. Recent high-pressure dominance and dry conditions have kept daytime highs near seasonal norms around 24–26°C, but subtle shifts in the 500 hPa pattern or incoming Atlantic moisture could alter boundary-layer mixing and push the overnight low either below 13°C or above 21°C. With market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 12°C-or-below and 22°C-or-higher, traders are pricing in this genuine forecast divergence ahead of the final observational verification from official Milan stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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