Recent short-range forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show variability in overnight radiative cooling for Paris on July 18, with minimum temperatures hinging on cloud cover, Atlantic frontal passages, and boundary-layer wind patterns that could advect cooler maritime air or sustain warmer continental conditions. Following mid-July heat and thundery showers on the 17th, traders see near-even odds between a dip to 12°C or below versus stabilization near 17°C because ensemble spreads remain wide on dew-point depression and subsidence strength. Upcoming model runs and official guidance will clarify whether clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling below seasonal 15–16°C averages or if lingering moisture caps the low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 18 июля?
17°C 100.0%
12°C или ниже <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$21,841 Объем
$21,841 Объем
12°C или ниже
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Да
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C или выше
Нет
17°C 100.0%
12°C или ниже <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$21,841 Объем
$21,841 Объем
12°C или ниже
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Да
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Recent short-range forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show variability in overnight radiative cooling for Paris on July 18, with minimum temperatures hinging on cloud cover, Atlantic frontal passages, and boundary-layer wind patterns that could advect cooler maritime air or sustain warmer continental conditions. Following mid-July heat and thundery showers on the 17th, traders see near-even odds between a dip to 12°C or below versus stabilization near 17°C because ensemble spreads remain wide on dew-point depression and subsidence strength. Upcoming model runs and official guidance will clarify whether clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling below seasonal 15–16°C averages or if lingering moisture caps the low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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