Official meteorological records from São Paulo stations, including data showing a minimum of 13.9°C on August 23, 2026, underpin the market's near-certain 14°C resolution at 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipating stable winter conditions with overnight lows near seasonal norms of 12–14°C, absent any cold front or radiative cooling anomalies. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of ground-based thermometer networks and the absence of conflicting observational reports. Resolution could shift only if official agencies revise the daily minimum through quality control or adopt a different reference station, though such adjustments remain rare for this timeframe.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 23 августа?
14°C 100%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$2,194 Объем
$2,194 Объем
23 авг. 2026 г.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$2,194 Объем
$2,194 Объем
23 авг. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$140 Объем
No
9°C
$85 Объем
No
10°C
$5 Объем
No
11°C
$210 Объем
No
12°C
$148 Объем
No
13°C
$5 Объем
No
14°C
$625 Объем
Yes
15°C
$90 Объем
No
16°C
$590 Объем
No
17°C
$115 Объем
No
18°C or higher
$181 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from São Paulo stations, including data showing a minimum of 13.9°C on August 23, 2026, underpin the market's near-certain 14°C resolution at 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipating stable winter conditions with overnight lows near seasonal norms of 12–14°C, absent any cold front or radiative cooling anomalies. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of ground-based thermometer networks and the absence of conflicting observational reports. Resolution could shift only if official agencies revise the daily minimum through quality control or adopt a different reference station, though such adjustments remain rare for this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$2,194Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from São Paulo stations, including data showing a minimum of 13.9°C on August 23, 2026, underpin the market's near-certain 14°C resolution at 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipating stable winter conditions with overnight lows near seasonal norms of 12–14°C, absent any cold front or radiative cooling anomalies. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of ground-based thermometer networks and the absence of conflicting observational reports. Resolution could shift only if official agencies revise the daily minimum through quality control or adopt a different reference station, though such adjustments remain rare for this timeframe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,194Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official meteorological records from São Paulo stations, including data showing a minimum of 13.9°C on August 23, 2026, underpin the market's near-certain 14°C resolution at 100% implied probability. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from regional models anticipating stable winter conditions with overnight lows near seasonal norms of 12–14°C, absent any cold front or radiative cooling anomalies. Trader consensus reflects the high reliability of ground-based thermometer networks and the absence of conflicting observational reports. Resolution could shift only if official agencies revise the daily minimum through quality control or adopt a different reference station, though such adjustments remain rare for this timeframe.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы