**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned international models indicate an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for Incheon on September 7 under mostly clear skies and persistent northeasterly winds.** This pattern, driven by a high-pressure system over the region, supports the market's leading implied probabilities for 20°C (50.5%) and 19°C (37.5%), with lower odds for 18°C reflecting modest downside uncertainty in minimum readings. Recent observations show stable dew points and no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that would accelerate cooling, while historical September baselines for the area average lows around 18–20°C. Traders appear to weigh the tight consensus around these thresholds against typical model spread in short-range temperature predictions, with the next official updates likely to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 7 сентября?
20°C 51%
19°C 38%
18°C 10%
17°C 5.6%
14°C или ниже
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
10%
19°C
38%
20°C
51%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
5%
20°C 51%
19°C 38%
18°C 10%
17°C 5.6%
14°C или ниже
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
10%
19°C
38%
20°C
51%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and aligned international models indicate an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for Incheon on September 7 under mostly clear skies and persistent northeasterly winds.** This pattern, driven by a high-pressure system over the region, supports the market's leading implied probabilities for 20°C (50.5%) and 19°C (37.5%), with lower odds for 18°C reflecting modest downside uncertainty in minimum readings. Recent observations show stable dew points and no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover that would accelerate cooling, while historical September baselines for the area average lows around 18–20°C. Traders appear to weigh the tight consensus around these thresholds against typical model spread in short-range temperature predictions, with the next official updates likely to refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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