Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 6 dipping to around 15-17°C, driven by dominant high-pressure systems promoting radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds overnight. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm stable nighttime lows near 16°C (60-63°F), consistent with early May climatological norms when average minima hover at 16°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these values—16°C at 36% implied odds—acknowledging uncertainty from potential cloud development or onshore flow that could limit cooling by 1-2°C. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily through resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 6?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 6?
15°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$17,606 Объем
$17,606 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
Нет
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$17,606 Объем
$17,606 Объем
6 мая 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$1,185 Объем
Нет
12°C
$655 Объем
No
13°C
$1,185 Объем
No
14°C
$2,515 Объем
No
15°C
$4,968 Объем
Yes
16°C
$2,338 Объем
No
17°C
$385 Объем
No
18°C
$734 Объем
No
19°C
$936 Объем
No
20°C
$443 Объем
No
21°C or higher
$2,260 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 6 dipping to around 15-17°C, driven by dominant high-pressure systems promoting radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds overnight. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm stable nighttime lows near 16°C (60-63°F), consistent with early May climatological norms when average minima hover at 16°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these values—16°C at 36% implied odds—acknowledging uncertainty from potential cloud development or onshore flow that could limit cooling by 1-2°C. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$17,606Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 6 dipping to around 15-17°C, driven by dominant high-pressure systems promoting radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds overnight. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm stable nighttime lows near 16°C (60-63°F), consistent with early May climatological norms when average minima hover at 16°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these values—16°C at 36% implied odds—acknowledging uncertainty from potential cloud development or onshore flow that could limit cooling by 1-2°C. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$17,606Дата окончания
6 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Latest ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 6 dipping to around 15-17°C, driven by dominant high-pressure systems promoting radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds overnight. Recent observations over the past 48 hours confirm stable nighttime lows near 16°C (60-63°F), consistent with early May climatological norms when average minima hover at 16°C amid the East Asian spring transition. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around these values—16°C at 36% implied odds—acknowledging uncertainty from potential cloud development or onshore flow that could limit cooling by 1-2°C. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected daily through resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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