**Stable subtropical conditions position 25°C as the dominant outcome for Shenzhen’s overnight low on September 18.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance converge on a minimum near 25–26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical early-autumn radiative cooling in the region. Recent observations show overnight lows holding around 25–26°C amid weak pressure gradients and no active fronts or tropical systems nearby. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C carrying the highest probability while tails such as 21°C or below or 31°C+ remain low-probability outliers absent major model shifts. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 12–24 hours will be the primary near-term driver of any probability adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 18 сентября?
25°C 52%
21°C или ниже 44%
31°C или выше 44%
22°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
44%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
56%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
8%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C или выше
44%
25°C 52%
21°C или ниже 44%
31°C или выше 44%
22°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$0 Объем
44%
22°C
$0 Объем
39%
23°C
$0 Объем
39%
24°C
$0 Объем
39%
25°C
$119 Объем
56%
26°C
$0 Объем
22%
27°C
$0 Объем
22%
28°C
$0 Объем
8%
29°C
$0 Объем
39%
30°C
$0 Объем
39%
31°C или выше
$0 Объем
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable subtropical conditions position 25°C as the dominant outcome for Shenzhen’s overnight low on September 18.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance converge on a minimum near 25–26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical early-autumn radiative cooling in the region. Recent observations show overnight lows holding around 25–26°C amid weak pressure gradients and no active fronts or tropical systems nearby. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C carrying the highest probability while tails such as 21°C or below or 31°C+ remain low-probability outliers absent major model shifts. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 12–24 hours will be the primary near-term driver of any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$119Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable subtropical conditions position 25°C as the dominant outcome for Shenzhen’s overnight low on September 18.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance converge on a minimum near 25–26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical early-autumn radiative cooling in the region. Recent observations show overnight lows holding around 25–26°C amid weak pressure gradients and no active fronts or tropical systems nearby. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C carrying the highest probability while tails such as 21°C or below or 31°C+ remain low-probability outliers absent major model shifts. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 12–24 hours will be the primary near-term driver of any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$119Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Stable subtropical conditions position 25°C as the dominant outcome for Shenzhen’s overnight low on September 18.** Multiple forecast models and official guidance converge on a minimum near 25–26°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds, consistent with typical early-autumn radiative cooling in the region. Recent observations show overnight lows holding around 25–26°C amid weak pressure gradients and no active fronts or tropical systems nearby. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C carrying the highest probability while tails such as 21°C or below or 31°C+ remain low-probability outliers absent major model shifts. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 12–24 hours will be the primary near-term driver of any probability adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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