**Current forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies point to a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 18 around 10–12°C under mostly cloudy to clearing skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1014–1015 hPa.** Recent rainfall on September 17 has increased surface moisture, which could enhance overnight radiative cooling if clouds diminish, supporting the market's emphasis on 8°C (43% implied probability) and 9°C (26%) as leading outcomes. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover near 10–14°C lows, with traders assigning notable weight to cooler tails (5°C or below at 23%) amid typical model spread in transitional autumn conditions. Higher outcomes like 15°C+ (25%) reflect residual uncertainty in cloud cover or urban heat effects, while upcoming model runs and observational updates will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 18 сентября?
15°C или выше 50%
5°C или ниже 46%
10°C 40%
7°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
46%
6°C
18%
7°C
21%
8°C
43%
9°C
27%
10°C
40%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
19%
14°C
39%
15°C или выше
50%
15°C или выше 50%
5°C или ниже 46%
10°C 40%
7°C 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
$0 Объем
46%
6°C
$0 Объем
18%
7°C
$91 Объем
21%
8°C
$285 Объем
43%
9°C
$0 Объем
27%
10°C
$0 Объем
40%
11°C
$0 Объем
39%
12°C
$0 Объем
39%
13°C
$0 Объем
19%
14°C
$0 Объем
39%
15°C или выше
$0 Объем
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies point to a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 18 around 10–12°C under mostly cloudy to clearing skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1014–1015 hPa.** Recent rainfall on September 17 has increased surface moisture, which could enhance overnight radiative cooling if clouds diminish, supporting the market's emphasis on 8°C (43% implied probability) and 9°C (26%) as leading outcomes. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover near 10–14°C lows, with traders assigning notable weight to cooler tails (5°C or below at 23%) amid typical model spread in transitional autumn conditions. Higher outcomes like 15°C+ (25%) reflect residual uncertainty in cloud cover or urban heat effects, while upcoming model runs and observational updates will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$376Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies point to a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 18 around 10–12°C under mostly cloudy to clearing skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1014–1015 hPa.** Recent rainfall on September 17 has increased surface moisture, which could enhance overnight radiative cooling if clouds diminish, supporting the market's emphasis on 8°C (43% implied probability) and 9°C (26%) as leading outcomes. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover near 10–14°C lows, with traders assigning notable weight to cooler tails (5°C or below at 23%) amid typical model spread in transitional autumn conditions. Higher outcomes like 15°C+ (25%) reflect residual uncertainty in cloud cover or urban heat effects, while upcoming model runs and observational updates will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$376Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like GFS and regional agencies point to a minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 18 around 10–12°C under mostly cloudy to clearing skies, light southwesterly winds, and stable high pressure near 1014–1015 hPa.** Recent rainfall on September 17 has increased surface moisture, which could enhance overnight radiative cooling if clouds diminish, supporting the market's emphasis on 8°C (43% implied probability) and 9°C (26%) as leading outcomes. Historical September averages for Warsaw hover near 10–14°C lows, with traders assigning notable weight to cooler tails (5°C or below at 23%) amid typical model spread in transitional autumn conditions. Higher outcomes like 15°C+ (25%) reflect residual uncertainty in cloud cover or urban heat effects, while upcoming model runs and observational updates will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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