Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a daily minimum near 19–20°C for Wuhan on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from overnight showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow a period of unsettled weather that has kept overnight lows elevated compared to clearer climatological norms for mid-September. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, though slight variations in timing of any clearing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from agencies like NOAA and European centers, along with local observations overnight, will refine resolution criteria for the market ahead of the daily low measurement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 18 сентября?
24°C или выше 71%
19°C 55%
14°C или ниже 47%
20°C 45%
14°C или ниже
47%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
55%
20°C
25%
21°C
8%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C или выше
71%
24°C или выше 71%
19°C 55%
14°C или ниже 47%
20°C 45%
14°C или ниже
47%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
55%
20°C
25%
21°C
8%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C или выше
71%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a daily minimum near 19–20°C for Wuhan on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from overnight showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow a period of unsettled weather that has kept overnight lows elevated compared to clearer climatological norms for mid-September. Model consensus shows limited spread around this range, though slight variations in timing of any clearing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Updated runs from agencies like NOAA and European centers, along with local observations overnight, will refine resolution criteria for the market ahead of the daily low measurement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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