**Current forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources and international agencies point to an overnight low near 20–22°C in Wuhan on September 24, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-September radiative cooling under a stable air mass.** High daytime humidity (around 70%) and the absence of a strong cold front until later in the week limit further drops, aligning with climatological September lows averaging near 21°C. Model consensus shows minimal overnight cooling potential below 20°C without unexpected clear-sky intensification or wind shifts. Market-implied odds favor 21°C and 20°C outcomes because recent model runs and real-time observations confirm these thresholds as the most probable resolution range before any post-midnight adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 24 сентября?
20°C 95%
18°C или ниже 71%
19°C 71%
21°C 65%
18°C или ниже
71%
19°C
71%
20°C
95%
21°C
65%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
20°C 95%
18°C или ниже 71%
19°C 71%
21°C 65%
18°C или ниже
71%
19°C
71%
20°C
95%
21°C
65%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...**Current forecast models from official Chinese meteorological sources and international agencies point to an overnight low near 20–22°C in Wuhan on September 24, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and typical late-September radiative cooling under a stable air mass.** High daytime humidity (around 70%) and the absence of a strong cold front until later in the week limit further drops, aligning with climatological September lows averaging near 21°C. Model consensus shows minimal overnight cooling potential below 20°C without unexpected clear-sky intensification or wind shifts. Market-implied odds favor 21°C and 20°C outcomes because recent model runs and real-time observations confirm these thresholds as the most probable resolution range before any post-midnight adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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