Meta's "Mango" AI model, a multimodal system focused on high-fidelity image and video generation to rival OpenAI's Sora and Google's Veo, faces trader skepticism after March 2026 reports of significant delays due to underwhelming internal testing performance. Initially targeted for first-half 2026 release alongside text-based "Avocado," Mango's setbacks prompted Meta to prioritize other efforts, including the April debut of Muse Spark—a smaller multimodal model with strong reasoning benchmarks—and aggressive talent poaching from OpenAI. Zuckerberg's hands-on coding with the AI team signals renewed push, but no confirmed Mango benchmarks or demos exist. Watch for potential announcements at LlamaCon on April 29 or Q2 earnings, as competitive dynamics and open-sourcing plans could accelerate or further slip timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМета-модель «Манго», выпущенная...?
Мета-модель «Манго», выпущенная...?
$24,628 Объем
30 июня
61%
$24,628 Объем
30 июня
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta's "Mango" AI model, a multimodal system focused on high-fidelity image and video generation to rival OpenAI's Sora and Google's Veo, faces trader skepticism after March 2026 reports of significant delays due to underwhelming internal testing performance. Initially targeted for first-half 2026 release alongside text-based "Avocado," Mango's setbacks prompted Meta to prioritize other efforts, including the April debut of Muse Spark—a smaller multimodal model with strong reasoning benchmarks—and aggressive talent poaching from OpenAI. Zuckerberg's hands-on coding with the AI team signals renewed push, but no confirmed Mango benchmarks or demos exist. Watch for potential announcements at LlamaCon on April 29 or Q2 earnings, as competitive dynamics and open-sourcing plans could accelerate or further slip timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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