Strong audience engagement and minimal new competition have positioned the Michael Jackson biopic for a likely fifth-weekend domestic gross above $19 million, with traders assigning that outcome a 68% implied probability. After a record $97 million opening and steady holds—including a $26.1 million fourth frame that reclaimed the top spot—the film has reached roughly $283 million domestically through four weekends despite mixed critic reviews. High audience scores and fan-driven word-of-mouth have supported better-than-average legs for a music biopic, while global earnings exceed $700 million. The upcoming frame faces typical 25–35% drops seen in similar holdovers, but current momentum and limited wide releases keep the higher brackets favored ahead of Memorial Day positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено«Майкл» 5-я касса выходного дня
>19 млн 68%
18–19 млн 19%
17-18 млн 14%
<16 млн 3.1%
<16 млн
3%
16–17 млн
2%
17-18 млн
14%
18–19 млн
19%
>19 млн
68%
>19 млн 68%
18–19 млн 19%
17-18 млн 14%
<16 млн 3.1%
<16 млн
3%
16–17 млн
2%
17-18 млн
14%
18–19 млн
19%
>19 млн
68%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong audience engagement and minimal new competition have positioned the Michael Jackson biopic for a likely fifth-weekend domestic gross above $19 million, with traders assigning that outcome a 68% implied probability. After a record $97 million opening and steady holds—including a $26.1 million fourth frame that reclaimed the top spot—the film has reached roughly $283 million domestically through four weekends despite mixed critic reviews. High audience scores and fan-driven word-of-mouth have supported better-than-average legs for a music biopic, while global earnings exceed $700 million. The upcoming frame faces typical 25–35% drops seen in similar holdovers, but current momentum and limited wide releases keep the higher brackets favored ahead of Memorial Day positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы