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Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

$35,236 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$35,236 Объем

Polymarket

South Sudan

$2,260 Объем

62%

Rwanda

$2,128 Объем

27%

Burundi

$200 Объем

26%

United States

$10,423 Объем

24%

Canada

$1,418 Объем

24%

Kenya

$235 Объем

30%

India

$732 Объем

14%

Republic of the Congo

$12,170 Объем

24%

Nigeria

$25 Объем

48%

Ethiopia

$107 Объем

49%

Somalia

$71 Объем

36%

China

$3,512 Объем

12%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing DRC Ebola outbreak, now the fastest-spreading on record with over 5,794 confirmed Bundibugyo cases and nearly 2,800 deaths across six provinces as of late August 2026, anchors trader sentiment for countries reporting at least one case this year. Imported cases in Uganda (outbreak declared over after 42 days) and France have already resolved those markets, while insecurity, strikes, and population movements fuel expansion toward borders, elevating risks for Central African Republic and South Sudan. WHO's PHEIC status and frontline Ervebo vaccination campaigns signal containment challenges, with traders watching weekly case spikes and cross-border alerts as key swing factors before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$35,236
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing DRC Ebola outbreak, now the fastest-spreading on record with over 5,794 confirmed Bundibugyo cases and nearly 2,800 deaths across six provinces as of late August 2026, anchors trader sentiment for countries reporting at least one case this year. Imported cases in Uganda (outbreak declared over after 42 days) and France have already resolved those markets, while insecurity, strikes, and population movements fuel expansion toward borders, elevating risks for Central African Republic and South Sudan. WHO's PHEIC status and frontline Ervebo vaccination campaigns signal containment challenges, with traders watching weekly case spikes and cross-border alerts as key swing factors before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$35,236
Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Uganda» с 100%, за ним следует «South Sudan» с 62%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $35.2K с момента запуска рынка May 22, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?» — «Uganda» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «South Sudan» с 62%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.