Narendra Modi’s third consecutive term as Prime Minister, secured in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, runs until 2029 with no intervening national polls or constitutional term limits requiring departure by December 31, 2026. Recent milestones, including surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s elected tenure record in June 2026, underscore his continued leadership within the BJP-led NDA coalition. Official government actions, such as ongoing parliamentary sessions and cabinet adjustments focused on the 2029 contest, show no signs of transition. Repeated debunkings of fabricated resignation claims by the Press Information Bureau further align with the absence of verifiable developments pointing to an early exit. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.8% “No” probability accounts for this stable institutional position while acknowledging that unforeseen events like health developments or coalition shifts could still alter the outlook in the short window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМоди выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Моди выйдет до 31 декабря 2026 года?
Да
6% вероятность
$252,183 Объем
$252,183 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Да
6% вероятность
$252,183 Объем
$252,183 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s third consecutive term as Prime Minister, secured in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, runs until 2029 with no intervening national polls or constitutional term limits requiring departure by December 31, 2026. Recent milestones, including surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s elected tenure record in June 2026, underscore his continued leadership within the BJP-led NDA coalition. Official government actions, such as ongoing parliamentary sessions and cabinet adjustments focused on the 2029 contest, show no signs of transition. Repeated debunkings of fabricated resignation claims by the Press Information Bureau further align with the absence of verifiable developments pointing to an early exit. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.8% “No” probability accounts for this stable institutional position while acknowledging that unforeseen events like health developments or coalition shifts could still alter the outlook in the short window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Объем
$252,183Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s third consecutive term as Prime Minister, secured in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, runs until 2029 with no intervening national polls or constitutional term limits requiring departure by December 31, 2026. Recent milestones, including surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s elected tenure record in June 2026, underscore his continued leadership within the BJP-led NDA coalition. Official government actions, such as ongoing parliamentary sessions and cabinet adjustments focused on the 2029 contest, show no signs of transition. Repeated debunkings of fabricated resignation claims by the Press Information Bureau further align with the absence of verifiable developments pointing to an early exit. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.8% “No” probability accounts for this stable institutional position while acknowledging that unforeseen events like health developments or coalition shifts could still alter the outlook in the short window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$252,183Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s third consecutive term as Prime Minister, secured in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, runs until 2029 with no intervening national polls or constitutional term limits requiring departure by December 31, 2026. Recent milestones, including surpassing Jawaharlal Nehru’s elected tenure record in June 2026, underscore his continued leadership within the BJP-led NDA coalition. Official government actions, such as ongoing parliamentary sessions and cabinet adjustments focused on the 2029 contest, show no signs of transition. Repeated debunkings of fabricated resignation claims by the Press Information Bureau further align with the absence of verifiable developments pointing to an early exit. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.8% “No” probability accounts for this stable institutional position while acknowledging that unforeseen events like health developments or coalition shifts could still alter the outlook in the short window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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